Crypto · Part of the handbook

Crypto odds on Polymarket — what bots can automate

Before automating a crypto prediction market, examine the contract, available liquidity and supported account path. A view on the underlying asset is only one input.

What bots can do well

  • Track odds and book depth on markets you are allowed to trade
  • Enforce risk limits and paper mode before live size
  • Automate exits and size rules you already believe
  • Alert on book moves without pretending to be a better Bitcoin oracle

What bots should not pretend to do

  • Be a better Bitcoin oracle than the market
  • Ignore US vs International routing
  • Treat Telegram “alpha” as a signal without a test harness
  • Size into thin books as if they were perpetual futures

Liquidity reality check

Crypto-adjacent event markets can look liquid on a headline price and still be thin a few ticks away. Your bot’s edge dies in the book, not in the narrative. Read order book basics before you automate size.

Operator sequence for crypto-adjacent markets

  1. Confirm path — US vs International
  2. Model US fee guide at the prices you actually trade
  3. Paper with realistic fills — risk controls
  4. If you DIY, start with the Engineering Desk API note

If you want a hosted builder, join the Bot for Polymarket waitlist.

Fee references and product status updated October 7, 2026: Polymarket US fee schedule.

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